. M A / 0 50 90 17 v 1 6 S ep 2 00 5 Traders imprint themselves by adaptively updating their own avatar
نویسنده
چکیده
Simulations of artificial stock markets were considered as early as 1964 [Sti64] and multi-agent ones were introduced as early as 1989 [KM89]. Starting the early 90's [PAH + 94, LLS00, Ter00], collaborations of economists and physicists produced increasingly realistic simulation platforms. Currently, the market stylized facts are easily reproduced and one has now to address the realistic details of the Market Microstructure and of the Traders Behaviour. This calls for new methods and tools capable of bridging smoothly between simulations and experiments in economics. We propose here the following Avatar-Based Method (ABM). The subjects implement and maintain their Avatars (programs encoding their personal decision making procedures) on NatLab, a market simulation platform. Once these procedures are fed in a computer edible format, they can be operationally used as such without the need for belabouring, interpreting or conceptualising them. Thus ABM short-circuits the usual behavioural economics experiments that search for the psychological mechanisms underlying the subjects behaviour. Finally, ABM maintains a level of objectivity close to the classical behaviourism while extending its scope to subjects' decision making mechanisms. We report on experiments where Avatars designed and maintained by humans from different backgrounds (including real traders) compete in a continuous double-auction market. Instead of viewing this as a collectively authored computer simulation , we consider it rather as a new type of computer aided experiment. Indeed we consider the Avatars as a medium on which the subjects can imprint and refine interactively representations of their internal decision making processes. Avatars can be objectively validated (as carriers of a faithful replica of the subject decision making process) by comparing their actions with the ones that the subjects would take in similar situations. We hope this unbiased way of capturing the adaptive evolution of real subjects behaviour may lead to a new kind of behavioural economics experiments with a high degree of reliability, analysability and reproducibility.
منابع مشابه
Traders imprint themselves by adaptively updating their own avatar
Simulations of artificial stock markets were considered as early as 1964 [Sti64] and multi-agent ones were introduced as early as 1989 [KM89]. Starting the early 90's [PAH + 94, LLS00, Ter00], collaborations of economists and physicists produced increasingly realistic simulation platforms. Currently, the market stylized facts are easily reproduced and one has now to address the realistic detail...
متن کاملar X iv : h ep - l at / 0 50 90 11 v 1 5 S ep 2 00 5 Lattice Gauge Fields Topology Uncovered by Quaternionic σ - model Embedding
We investigate SU(2) gauge fields topology using new approach, which exploits the well known connection between SU(2) gauge theory and quaternionic projective σ-models and allows to formulate the topological charge density entirely in terms of σ-model fields. The method is studied in details and for thermalized vacuum configurations is shown to be compatible with overlap-based definition. We co...
متن کاملar X iv : g r - qc / 0 20 90 18 v 1 6 S ep 2 00 2 Conformal Einstein evolution ∗
We discuss various properties of the conformal field equations and their consequences for the asymptotic structure of space-times.
متن کاملar X iv : h ep - l at / 0 60 90 17 v 1 8 S ep 2 00 6 Topology , chiral and screening transitions at finite density in two colour QCD
The behaviour of the topological susceptibility in QCD with two colours and 8 flavours of quarks is studied at nonzero temperature on the lattice across the finite density transition. It is shown that its signal drops at a (pseudo–)critical chemical potential μc. The Polyakov loop and the chiral condensate undergo their transitions at the same value. Pauli blocking supervenes at a value of the ...
متن کاملar X iv : 0 90 9 . 17 08 v 1 [ m at h . Q A ] 9 S ep 2 00 9 HOPF STRUCTURES ON MINIMAL HOPF QUIVERS
In this paper we investigate pointed Hopf algebras via quiver methods. We classify all possible Hopf structures arising from minimal Hopf quivers, namely basic cycles and the linear chain. This provides full local structure information for general pointed Hopf algebras.
متن کامل